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Supreme Petrochem

Supreme Petrochem Limited · NSE: SPLPETRO · BSE: 500405

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Vishal @vishal #1

Supreme Petrochem (SPLPETRO): Q2 FY27 results analysis

(quarter ended 30 Sep 2026)

All figures consolidated, ₹ crore unless stated. The board met at 5 PM on 23 Oct 2026, after market hours. YoY/QoQ %, margins and ratios are my calculations. The earnings call is on 27 Oct, so some lines below are flagged as estimates.

Metric Q2 FY27 YoYQoQ
Revenue from ops (rounded)~1,960~+75%~+14%
Total income1,983.5+76.1%+14.5%
EBITDA (ex-OI) – estimate~137~+76%~−59%
EBITDA margin – estimate~7.0%7.0%19.4%
PAT96.2+95.2%−59.5%
PAT margin4.9%4.4%13.9%
Other income / PBT – estimate~18%14%5%

For margin and ratio rows, the YoY and QoQ columns show the prior-period value. The estimates assume Q1's ~25% tax rate and Q1-level depreciation and interest.

Quality of earnings

The YoY jump is flattered by a weak base. Q2 FY26 was hurt by weak OEM demand (cooling appliances), an extended monsoon and falling styrene prices [11].

The QoQ fall of ~60% in PAT is the real story. In Q1, a supply shock in West Asia widened the gap between styrene monomer (the raw material) and the company's products [6]. Management itself called the Q1 margin an aberration driven by unusually strong global spreads [6]. That boost has largely faded (my reading).

Revenue growth looks price-led. In Q1, revenue rose 22% even though volumes fell 24.5% [5]. Q2 volumes will only be known after the call.

The balance sheet stays debt-free, and an interim dividend of ₹2.50 was declared [1].

Margins (Chart 3)

EBITDA margin over five quarters: 7.0% → 5.5% → 15.9% → 19.4% → ~7% (estimate) [4]. The company's earnings swing with spreads more than with volumes (interpretation).

Guidance: what changed

  • Margins: no numeric guidance. After Q1, management cautioned that the margin level was not sustainable [6].
  • Capex: about ₹900 cr, funded internally, with capacities online by March 2029 [5]. This includes a ₹325 cr, 80,000 TPA polystyrene line approved in July [12].
  • Call on 27 Oct: expect detail on volumes, exports and spreads [3].

Positives

  • Debt-free; dividend maintained [1]
  • PAT still about double the year-ago level [1]
  • Capacity expansion funded internally [5]

Concerns

  • Earnings depend heavily on global styrene spreads [6]
  • Q1 volumes fell sharply [5]; Q2 volume data is not yet out
  • Limited disclosure until the call (my view)

Things to track in Q3 FY27

  1. Actual Q2 EBITDA, volumes and spreads from the 27 Oct call
  2. Export recovery once West Asia shipping normalises
  3. Domestic demand from appliance OEMs
  4. Capex progress on the new lines

Not a buy/sell recommendation. Facts are sourced; opinions are labelled.

Sources [1] Whalesbook, 23 Oct 2026 · [2] Sahi – Q2 revenue · [3] Multibagg – board/call schedule · [4] Fyers – consolidated quarterly · [5] FilingReader – Q1 FY27 · [6] Multibagg – Q1 FY27 call · [7] Valorem – Q1 FY27 call highlights · [8] Stockanalysis – annual · [9] Business Standard – FY24 · [10] Business Standard – FY25 · [11] Alphastreet – Q2 FY26 · [12] Sahi – Q1 FY27 capex

Charts:

(1) last 5 quarters revenue & PAT

(2) FY23–FY26 revenue & PAT

(3) EBITDA margin (Q2 FY27 estimated) and PAT margin (own calc.).

Supreme Petrochem Quarterly
Supreme Petrochem Quarterly
Supreme Petrochem Annual results
Supreme Petrochem Annual results
Supreme Petrochem Margins
Supreme Petrochem Margins
Author's disclosure: Not invested

Posts are members’ own views and are not investment advice. Holdings shown are what each member disclosed when posting. Research notes are by SEBI-registered analysts under their own registration; Mudraa hosts them and does not endorse them.

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