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Bajaj Finance

Bajaj Finance Limited · NSE: BAJFINANCE · BSE: 500034

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Vishal @vishal #1
Bajaj Finance (BAJFINANCE) – Q2 FY27 Results Analysis (quarter ended 30 Sep 2026)

All figures consolidated, ₹ crore unless stated. Results declared after market hours on 19 Oct 2026. YoY/QoQ % are my calculations from reported numbers.

MetricQ2 FY27YoYQoQ
AUM5,84,624+26.5%+6.9%
NII13,335+23.6%+6.1%
Net total income15,974+23.0%+4.9%
Pre-provision op. profit10,699+23.2%–
Loan losses & provisions2,166+4.1%+8.7%
PAT6,367+28.7%+4.7%
Credit cost (annualised)1.56%1.88% a yr ago–
GNPA / NNPA1.06% / 0.42%1.24% / 0.60%0.96% / 0.39%
PCR (Stage 3)60%52%–
Cost of funds7.31%–−9 bps
RoA / RoE4.6% / 20.6%4.5% / 19.1%–

Quality of earnings

PAT (+29%) grew faster than NII (+24%) and PPOP (+23%). The gap comes from provisions, which rose only 4% YoY. The Q2 FY26 base carried an elevated 1.88% credit cost, so YoY profit growth is partly flattered by a high-provision base (my view).

On the other side, this quarter absorbed a ₹337 cr management/macro overlay; excluding it, provisions fell 12% YoY. Fee and other income (NTI minus NII) was about ₹2,639 cr, +20% YoY but flat QoQ (my calculation). PBT was ₹8,537 cr , implying a normal ~25% tax rate. Standalone results show no exceptional items.

Margins

The press release doesn't state NIM, so I calculate NII ÷ average AUM: 9.55% → 9.56% → 9.48% → 9.52% → 9.43% over five quarters (Chart 3). Management said Q2 NIM fell 10–12 bps QoQ [4].

Cost of funds actually fell 9 bps to 7.31% [3]. So the dip likely reflects yield/mix: faster growth in lower-yield mortgages (+30%), loans against securities (+42%) and gold loans (+105%) [3] (interpretation).

Note: one transcript summary shows cost of funds at 7.87% ; the 7.31% figure matches the investor-deck summary.

Guidance: what changed

  • FY27 AUM growth guidance raised to 26–27%, from 23–25% [4][5]. (CNBC-TV18 cites the earlier range as 22–24% [7].)
  • NIM: the earlier FY27 guidance was 10–15 bps compression; management now flags a "marginal headwind" beyond that, after RBI's 25 bps repo hike to 5.50% on 9 Oct.
  • Credit cost: FY27 expected to be among the lowest in four years.
  • Capital: ₹11,700 cr QIP plus ₹5,800 cr warrants to Bajaj Finserv (subject to approval). The leverage corridor drops to 5.0–5.5x from 5.5–6x.

Market reaction (interpretation)

The stock closed at ₹957.35 (−2.5%) on 19 Oct, before the results. After the Dussehra holiday, it traded ~2.3% lower at ₹935 on 21 Oct. Likely reasons: tighter margin guidance, GNPA up 10 bps QoQ, a Stage 2 bump in gold loans, and dilution from the capital raise outweighing the growth upgrade.

Positives

  • 26.5% AUM growth with a raised full-year target
  • Credit cost down 32 bps YoY despite the overlay; PCR up to 60%
  • Opex/NTI at 33.0%, RoE 20.6%

Concerns

  • NIM compression set to deepen in H2 as rate hikes flow through
  • Stage 2+3 rose ₹1,601 cr in the quarter, ~₹1,047 cr from gold-loan schemes, now discontinued
  • MSME AUM grew just 3%; management cites rural/monsoon stress
  • Near-term RoE dilution from the ₹17,500 cr raise

Things to track in Q3 FY27

  1. Calculated NIM: does compression stay near the guided band?
  2. Whether the gold-loan Stage 2 assets roll back to Stage 1, as management expects
  3. Credit cost staying near 1.3–1.6%, plus any further overlays
  4. QIP pricing/timing and the new leverage corridor
Bajaja Fianance Quarterly Profit PAT Chart
Bajaja Fianance Quarterly Profit PAT Chart
Bajaja Fianance Yearly Income and Profit Trend
Bajaja Fianance Yearly Income and Profit Trend
Bajaja Fianance Quarterly NIM and NPA Trend
Bajaja Fianance Quarterly NIM and NPA Trend
Author's disclosure: Not invested

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