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Deva Senapathi at 02:39 PM - Aug 22, 2015 ( ) Views: 1,065

Dear FRIENDS,

GOLD is going UP, GRUDE is coming DOWN, US planning to UP interest rate. We are expecting when RBI will cut the interest. Situation is LIKE in end off 2007 and begining of 2008. Like CHINA 30 to 40% down for INDIAN market in beging of 2016? DISCUSS all in details. GENIUS can share their TRADING Experiance. 



From: DEVA SENAPATHI at 09:02 AM - Aug 24, 2015( )


Dear Friends, Nifty below 8100? Oppertunity to BUY stocks or wait!



From: DEVA SENAPATHI at 02:36 PM - Sep 02, 2015( )


Dear Friends,

Have any latest news on "Shemitah year-2015" that ends on 13.09.2015 and its IMPACT on Financial markets. DISCUSS all in details. I expect a FALL to 6500 minus for NIFTY in beging of 2016. 


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Gongura Katta at 11:22 AM - Aug 23, 2015 ( )

Statistical Significance
I mentioned this in my earlier post this year as well; historically, the 3rd year of the 2nd term of a US president marks a strong correction in markets. Let us look at extremely strong global market corrections over the last few years [Taking into account 2 consecutive terms of the US President]

Roosevelt started his presidential term in 1933 [when recovery from 1929 was underway] and extended and ended with World War 2

October 1987 - 2nd term of Ronald Reagon [President from Jan '81 to Jan '89]

October 2000 - 2nd term of Bill Clinton [President from Jan '93 to Jan '01]

October 2008 - 2nd term of George Washington Jr [President from Jan '01 to Jan '09]

Currently Obama is serving his 2nd term and is in his 3rd year!

I am only taking into account 2 consecutive terms of a US President over the last few years and global economic scenario. Truman was the only exception when there was no major economic collapse globally. All countries were trying to bounce back from the debacle of World War 2.

What is important is that there is 'statistical correlation' with 2nd consecutive terms of US presidents, especially in their 3rd years of the 2nd term. We are not blaming the presidents here for economic debacles - please that should not be the inference. As Naseb Taleb says in fooled by randomness, "Don't look for patterns in what could just be a cinnamon roll"

Courtesy: Nagraj

Gongura Katta at 11:20 AM - Aug 23, 2015 ( )

Fibonacci Timing
2-3-5-8-13-21-34 are critical Fibonacci numbers. 2016 marks an 8 year period from the Lehman Brothers crisis. 2015 marks a 5 year period from the time Euro-zone crisis that first surfaced. [And 2008 marked the 8 year period from the 2000 economic debacle busting startup technology] The social mood and Fibonacci points towards a correction globally. That being said, it is difficult to know exact timing of events. Blind shorting can create challenges as markets are irrational. Suffice to say that beware - sudden negative surprises can spring up at a time most unexpected

Courtesy: Nagraj

Kripakar Kumble at 12:16 AM - Aug 23, 2015 ( )

Deve Senapathi ji..

Whatever may be the cues from the national front  or international front,  we are now reaching the end of 8 year cycle of index.

If you see  the past history of NIFTY,  for every 8 years,  there was a major correction of more than 50%.  If the same scenario repeats then 2015/2016  the major correction may start.

Look at the following data

year Min Max Correction %
1990 279.02 480.38  
1991 306.22 572.28  
1992 572.82 1280.92 53.2
1993 599.51 1069.78  
1994 1082.80 1384.94  
1995 843.68 1182.14  
1996 775.43 1203.11  
1997 905.20 1297.10  
1998 800.10 1247.15  
1999 882.60 1522.85  
2000 1108.20 1818.15 53.3
2001 849.95 1422.95  
2002 920.10 1205.95  
2003 920.00 1914.40  
2004 1292.20 2088.45  
2005 1894.40 2857.00  
2006 2595.65 4046.85  
2007 3554.50 6185.40  
2008 2252.75 6357.10 64.6
2009 2539.45 5221.85  
2010 4675.40 6338.50  
2011 4531.15 6181.05  
2012 4588.05 5965.15  
2013 5118.85 6415.25  
2014 5933.30 8626.95  
2015 7940.30 9119.20  
2016      

Just my guess work.

thanks

Yatheendradas C.k. at 09:24 PM - Aug 22, 2015 ( )

 

Global markets witnessed a mega correction this week due to multiple factors.

 

The Indian markets held up reasonably well  durig the week. Global investors have not yet abandoned India in the way they have fled other emerging markets. However, volatility will continue to remain high in the near future


The global markets are likely to remain under pressure . The concerns of global investors are unlikely to go away anytime soon. Indian markets too will continue to experience the outcome of this global turmoil.


However, long term investors need not be too worried  Times like these can be taken as opportunity to enter good quality stocks at reasonable valuations.


India remains a bright spot and ranks highest among the favoured destination amongst Asian markets (excluding Japan) for global investors, despite persistent fears about a recession in China and a possible debt crisis in Emerging Markets nd trumoil in Global Markets.

Puttaiah Narasimhalu at 03:40 PM - Aug 22, 2015 ( )

whatever may be the situation of world markets. Once GST bill is approved in parliament, the so called FIIS will start pouring money. No doubt, it will take time, may be in another 30 - 60 days at winter session the bill will be cleared, Otherwise, congress will score 0 out of 565 seats in next parliament elections.  India will outperform irrespective of monsoon, moody ratings.  Our domestic players in investing everydip.  Ceiling of 5% to 15% to invest in equity markets out of EPF money is a good sign for our market.  Dont get panic, Our growth story is far better than any economy. Even introdction of Gold bonds is also a good initiative of NDA govt.  One rank One pension is a threat for NDA govt.  Who knows if SEBI bans short selling in cash market, then FIIS no option to buy the shares in cash market. Modi is not wasting his time roaming from one country to other country.  There is a purpose & vision, definitley the fruits will be enjoyed by all investors just wait upto 2020.

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