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MARKET OUTLOOK: AARESKAY : 12-12-2011.
| From : Sivakumar R at 11:54 AM - Dec 11, 2011 ( ) |
Share it on FacebookEXPECTING A NEW LOW IN DECEMBER???????????
If fails to move above 4985 spot in a day or two, then, expect a break of 4640 spot before December end. The above prediction is purely based on Wave Theory.
If opens above 4900 spot levels, then, Nifty will try to touch 4933-4950 spot levels. Expect a heavy selling pressure and also expect a close below 4884 spot on Monday. Hence if you witness a selling pressure at the above mentioned levels, then, SELL NIFTY and hold it until I give an exit message. Put your stoploss at 4985-4991 spot levels.
If opens lower, then, Nifty will try to move up either from 4828 or from 4808 spot levels towards 4933-4950 spot.
If opens flat, then, wait for 4810 spot levels to buy or wait for 4930-4950 spot levels to Sell.
My expectation: If my wave counts are correct, then, market may open higher and it will not sustain at higher levels and at the same time market will face heavy sell-off either of Monday or on Wednesday.
Indicators are not giving any clue but moving average crossover pointing downmoves only. Wave Theory also confirms this.
MY TARGET FOR THIS DOWNMOVE IS WELL BELOW YOUR EXPECTATIONS.
HOLD SHORTS UNTIL A RALLY OF 155 POINTS FROM A LOW AND THAT IS THE STOPLOSS.
I expected a break of 4918 spot to give a sell call but Nifty formed a irregular triangle pattern and I failed to notice during my office routine. We failed to short at open. This downtrend may continue for a few more days/weeks but in between expect a volatile moves within 100-120 points for a day or two and then this downtrend will continue. Do not forget: 155 points.
I AM EXPECTING A TARGET OF 4339 SPOT BEFORE DECEMBER END,
CLOSING BELOW 4675 SPOT IS THE CONFIRMATION POINT FOR THE VERTICAL FALL.
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FII's bought 600 crs. in nifty futures on friday ... any issue to take note of for shorters ?
We are all waiting for sunday morning 11 0 clock update from Shivakumar!!!
Hi All..
I don't want to challage the experts, but now its time to trade wisely..
Dont remain short... Matket has fallen tooo much and too short time...
In 7 sessions, NIFTY fell from 5085 to 4625.. nearly 7.5%..
Monday's low will be LOW of December.. and expecting the expiry above 4750-4800.. Or even 5000..
Let's see......
| Symbol | Date | Expiry | Open | High | Low | Close | LTP | Settle Price | No. of contracts | Turnover in  Lacs |
Open Int | Change in OI |
Underlying Value |
| NIFTY | 07-Dec-2011 | 29-Dec-2011 | 5069.80 | 5134.65 | 5055.00 | 5086.10 | 5066.25 | 5086.10 | 436794 | 1114594.84 | 23005450 | 441100 | 5062.60 |
| NIFTY | 08-Dec-2011 | 29-Dec-2011 | 5049.00 | 5073.85 | 4938.35 | 4956.60 | 4948.60 | 4956.60 | 548931 | 1369896.03 | 21685700 | -1319750 | 4943.65 |
| NIFTY | 09-Dec-2011 | 29-Dec-2011 | 4879.00 | 4942.65 | 4850.10 | 4885.90 | 4882.25 | 4885.90 | 572017 | 1398333.93 | 19781600 | -1904100 | 4866.70 |
| NIFTY | 12-Dec-2011 | 29-Dec-2011 | 4912.00 | 4915.00 | 4762.00 | 4773.70 | 4769.00 | 4773.70 | 509940 | 1229748.63 | 20709000 | 927400 | 4764.60 |
| NIFTY | 13-Dec-2011 | 29-Dec-2011 | 4744.00 | 4839.70 | 4731.20 | 4811.35 | 4836.75 | 4811.35 | 520075 | 1243110.89 | 19971050 | -737950 | 4800.60 |
| NIFTY | 14-Dec-2011 | 29-Dec-2011 | 4800.00 | 4848.00 | 4751.05 | 4764.20 | 4764.00 | 4764.20 | 524717 | 1258670.50 | 20540300 | 569250 | 4763.25 |
| NIFTY | 15-Dec-2011 | 29-Dec-2011 | 4729.00 | 4784.00 | 4671.10 | 4757.40 | 4765.10 | 4757.40 | 514453 | 1216173.30 | 20547550 | 7250 | 4746.35 |
| NIFTY | 16-Dec-2011 | 29-Dec-2011 | 4774.90 | 4839.90 | 4624.50 | 4643.15 | 4625.85 | 4643.15 | 678327 | 1611827.94 | 21485450 | 937900 | 4651.60 |
Thank you siva Sir for saving my small money. Holding shorts. Always we need Your guidance.
DEAR SHIVA SIR,
YESTERDAY SPOT NIFTY JUST TAKE REST AT 4627 A LONG SUPPORT TRENDLINE.
THIS IS A SECOND LAST TREND LINE, LAST TREND LINE COMES SOMEWHERE BEETWEN
3500 - 3600 LEVEL( IF WE DRAW AN IMAGINE LINE FROM THE BOTTOM OF 2008/09 LOW)
IF WE CALCULATE 1000 POINTS FROM NOVEMBER TOP(5399) THAN DECMBER LOW
MAY BE 4399, BUT IF WE CALCULATING 1000 POINTS FROM DECEMBER TOP 5099 THAN
DECEMBER LOW MAY BE 4099. BUT IF MARKET BREAKS 4627 THAN THERE IS NO SUPPORT
TILL 3500 - 3600 LEVEL !! AND DECEMBER IS YEAR'S LAST MONTH SO THE CORRECTION
STARTED FROM 6338 LEVEL IS MAY BE ENDED AT 3500-3600 LEVEL IF BREAKS 4627.
WHAT U SAY SIR ?? PLS GIVE UR VALUABLE IDEA.
THANKS FOR UR VALUABLE TIME AND HARDWORK.
Hi,
I would sincerely like to give vote of thanks to Siva and all other great analysts GV madam, Srikanth sir, Kalyani sir and also hemant sir for guiding people and helping out to understand market in real context, Without them it is very easy to get trapped and loose our hard earn money, The best part i liked about them is they find time to do analysis from their busy routine and update here ..as many people really will take charges for such things and also you never know whether it will be correct also
It will be too much to ask this Gems for starting with some kind of online tutions or so we all can also learn how to do analysis, but if it can be worked out then it will be simply great
Awesome work, Keep it up, God bless
Thanks
If you teach us we are very obliged to you.............
When any stock will be caught/sold on the basis of previous days performance of the said stock............?
Actually I trade only in cash market intra.......
The Tamil Margali Masam, or Margazhi Month, is the month of Bhakti and Music. The importance of Margali Masam was announced by none other than Lord Krishna in the Bhagavad Gita when says Maasanam Margasheershoham - among the twelve months, I am Margazhi. Rendering of Tiruppavai and Tiruvembavai, religious discourses and music festivals are the major highlights during the period. In 2008, Margazhi month begins on December 17 and ends on January 14, 2011.
Chanting of the Tiruppavai of Andal is the most important event in the month. Tiruppavai consists of 30 verses and a verse is chanted on each day of Margali. Another major highlight in the month is the drawing of kolams (rangoli) daily in front of houses.
The most important festivals in the Margali month are Vaikundha Ekadasi, Hanuman Jayanthi and Arudara Darshan. The month also marks the end of the pilgrimage season in Sabarimala.
The month is also of great significance in the Srirangam Sri Ranganatha Temple. Apart from the Vaikunta Ekadasi, the Srirangam temple during the month witnesses the Pagal pathu and Rapathu – the chanting of Tiruvaimozhi.
Margali Masam is also the time of the winter solstice when the days are shorter and the nights are longer. This Margazhi month has another speciality also. This month is considered and should be considered as the divine and highly spiritual month because in all the other months, there are lots of festivals and happy occasions fall. The main reason why there are no festivals in this month is mainly because of mind and soul should completely think only towards the perumal and this is the only month in which all the 30 days should be dedication towards the perumal.
There is also a scientific meaning, which explains the greatness of the Margazhi month. During this month, the ozone layer will be lowered a little bit and because of this, any disease will reduce and gives a healthy body.
This Message is deleted by Karthik Viswanath.
Pl.explain- Month of Carnatic Music!!!
I want to know how you people celebrate this.
Good morning All.
Happy margali month!!
Month of Carnatic Music!!!
shiva sir ,u r gr8888888..........hats off 2 u sir..........
It happened Today!!!!!! 200 points falllllllllllllllllllll
From : Sivakumar R at 06:36 PM - Dec 12, 2011 (4 days ago)
This is E wave of the expanding triangle pattern. The nature of this wave is : very furious and violent downmoves. On one day we are going to witness fall of more than 200 points. Let us see.
Dear Siva, Your guide lines have definitely helped me to save my hard earned money.
THANK YOU.
Keep continue the good work sivakumar ji
I also agree with the sentence that Srikant Ji mentined
This is just a trial....................
the picture will release soon and it will be block buster
From : Rajesh B at 10:37 PM - Dec 16, 2011
Hi Siva, Do you Elliot Wave indicator for MT4. Please share it. I am also learner in technicals.
Thank you in advance.
Elliot Wave indicator not an indicator based .....dear its manual study only ......if indicator come so all ppl r EW analyst.
hope u got my point
Excellent sir, thats what sir people reading your msg had to just apply thier minds and take some time in reading your each line carefully and execute it..
This is wonderful thinking and execution!!!
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