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MARKET FROM NEXT WEEK

From : Pradip Ray at 12:10 AM - Sep 03, 2011 ( )
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WHAT DO U GUYS FEEL ABOUT THE MARKET NXT WEEK ? GENERAL GUT FEEL: EW FEEL; TECHNICAL FEEL; NEWS BASED FEEL; EXPECTANCY FEEL ; RETRACEMENT FEEL ; STOCK SPECIFIC FEEL ; SECTOR SPECIFIC FEEL ; FII/DII  SPECIFIC FEEL; RBI FEEL;INFLATION FEEL ; ANY OTHER FEEL?

NIFTY CHART GAVE AN EV STAR TO DAY ? EID KA CHAND;KHUSI KA DIN .THOSE IN SHT SIDE AND THOSE IN THE LONG SIDE WOULD TEND TO INTERPRET IT IN HIS OWN WAY. WHICH SIDE R U?



From: pradip ray at 08:37 AM - Sep 20, 2011


20.09.11  dow - 108; sgx nifty -17



From: pradip ray at 03:40 PM - Sep 29, 2011


TO DAY'S VIX

32.00

32.81 30.50 31.07 32.00 -2.90


From: pradip ray at 03:38 PM - Sep 30, 2011


TO DAY'S VIX - RANGEBOUND.TREND UP.

                                                                  As on Sep 30, 2011 15:30:27 hours IST

India VIX    
Open High Low Current Prev Close % Change
31.07 32.52 30.28 31.94 31.07 2.80


From: pradip ray at 10:48 PM - Apr 02, 2012


No comments !




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pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 04:58 PM - Dec 12, 2011 ( )

Nifty in a very danger zone. Every body should come out of their holding at the slightest opportunity. Figs r appearing in various thetrads and I do not want to repeat them. I am watching very apprehensive figs in several blogs / forums.

I do not want to panic any body as I my self am a positive man. But taking precaution while climbing a mountain is mandatory; else it is foolhardy. Keep a distance from the market for the next 2 months. In Mudraa we may discuss what else could be done during this time. No point in enriching ur  / my Broker.

Take my words seriously.

 

Market update : DECEMBER 12, 2011

[Please press refresh if this page is not show4ing the latest update/charts]

SENSEX - CHANGES HAVE BEEN MARKED IN YELLOW

Time

Target

Trend

Reversal

Trend Implication

SHORT TERM

15480

Down

17000

1-5 Days

MEDIUM TERM

14585-13320-11000

Down

17493

1-4 Weeks

NIFTY - CHANGES HAVE BEEN MARKED IN YELLOW

Time

Target

Trend

Reversal

Trend Implication

SHORT TERM

4640

Down

5100

1-5 Days

MEDIUM TERM

4340-4000-3200

Down

5253

1-4 Weeks


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 03:25 PM - Dec 12, 2011 ( )

Te range broken . Lets c the EOD. 4600 looks imminent.


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From : Pradip Ray at 12:17 PM - Dec 12, 2011 ( )

Watch te levels.

From : Pradip Ray at 11:21 PM - Dec 11, 2011 (13 hours ago)

I think u need to see the chart again.A gap up - sht lived may be- opening is xpcted.Previous spot close 4867. sgx not considered. A lvl of 4950 - 4770 is in th chart . Spot. Long / short with these levels in mind might help. Lets watch.


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From : Pradip Ray at 11:21 PM - Dec 11, 2011 ( )

I think u need to see the chart again.A gap up - sht lived may be- opening is xpcted.Previous spot close 4867. sgx not considered. A lvl of 4950 - 4770 is in th chart . Spot. Long / short with these levels in mind might help. Lets watch.


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From : Pradip Ray at 12:55 PM - Dec 11, 2011 ( )

Have u seen the 4600 / 4500 /4000 put option price for Dec-March Expiry ? Can any body put them up ?


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From : Pradip Ray at 03:58 PM - Dec 10, 2011 ( )




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From : Pradip Ray at 03:54 PM - Dec 10, 2011 ( )

















pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 03:38 PM - Dec 10, 2011 ( )

Time to be serious about it. Chart gives indication of a 2-3 days upmove. The level (spot) 4770 / 4950 may be watched. I am putting up the chart.

From : Pradip Ray at 11:13 PM - Dec 08, 2011 (2 days ago)

 

A stray thought ! As there is a possibility of bear onslaught when every one is Bullish (aka Sivakumar), the opposite is also true ! And Eurozone  / Inflation data may augur well.


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From : Pradip Ray at 11:13 PM - Dec 08, 2011 ( )

A stray thought ! As there is a possibility of bear onslaught when every one is Bullish (aka Sivakumar), the opposite is also true ! And Eurozone  / Inflation data may augur well.


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From : Pradip Ray at 06:01 PM - Dec 08, 2011 ( )

Volatility increased substantially signifying more downslide - 4800 may be.


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From : Pradip Ray at 03:49 PM - Dec 07, 2011 ( )

VolatilitY increased. Not to a danger lvl. Spot open falt; moved a bit but could not cross 5100. So I stick to my observation.

And Leena, ur 5093 level (spot) was touched . The formation need again to be seen.


India VIX    
Open High Low Current Prev Close % Change
24.52 26.58 24.52 26.46 25.02 5.75

From : Pradip Ray at 04:33 PM - Dec 03, 2011 (4 days ago)

As things stand market is poised to witness 5100-5200. On the lower side 4910 may be a support and reversal level.In a conservative estimate 5000 can be taken as the support for downside.

December we r about to see the firework.

Caveat : I read in one of the threads that when every body is bullish, market acts in the opposite. However VIX is below 25 and definite lower trend signifying a relaxed mood.Muharam is close and Tuesday no market. FDI fiasco is on which will be over on Monday. TMC may not be able to join hands with CPM and BJP. So some hard bargain for the state is on the anvil.


leena sebas
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From : Leena Sebas at 09:57 PM - Dec 05, 2011 ( )

Evening star? 

I am totally confusedUndecided.What we seeing here is a bearish harami cross, but to call it an evening star a gap up opening was needed today, which didnt happend.Now for a fall either next trading day should open gap down.below the long candle for a confirmation.

so how can it be an evening star even if a fall happens?

pradip ji, can you please enlighten me? 


rud swa
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From : Rud Swa at 09:34 PM - Dec 05, 2011 ( )

nice explanation sir .... thanks


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 09:28 PM - Dec 05, 2011 ( )

Do we get an Ev Star (detail below ) to day ?




Evening Stars start with a continuation of the bullish move. The second day sees a continuation of the move up, but a sell-off makes the market close at or near the open for the day. The first two candles meekly suggest a loss of bullish momentum. In fact up to day two this formation matches the Bearish Shooting Star weak-to-moderate strength reversal pattern.

  the shooting star can really be any color.

Bearish Shooting Stars alone are decent signals for additional sell-offs on day three. Since the certainty for a shooting star indicator is low, the trend reversal should be confirmed by a red candlestick the next day.

Thus Bearish Evening Stars require on day three a sharp sell-off after the market open. Analysts want day threes high to be near equal to its open price, suggesting the market sell-off has no uncertainty in the new direction.

With this pattern watch for sells offs the follow days.

In non-FX markets gaps are quite common, and Evening Stars traditionally require a gap between the first and second day. In fact the wider the gap from day two to three the better the signal in non-FX markets, since the higher day-two goes the stronger day-threes bearish move is.


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 09:00 AM - Dec 05, 2011 ( )

GM. Every body is euphoric.Chart favorable. Select stocks favorable. But Nifty as economical barometer will have to fight the pent up dissappointment in economic nos and political brownies. Strike when the iron is hot and the victim given lesser time (to morrow is closed) to react is of concern. TC to the levels . Happy Trading.


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From : Pradip Ray at 05:02 PM - Dec 03, 2011 ( )

Prima facie the chart shows the retracement is at least temporarily over (ADX level). Other indicators show a short term upmove.

PCR 1.31 - not good for bull. ADR 97 ie more decline; 5100-5500 call increased;4900-5000 put increased.

Santa Claus Month. FIIs will be pressurised to pay dividend. So FII will pull the market up and then sell them towards 2nd week of December taking it down.

This is what I foresee.


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 04:46 PM - Dec 03, 2011 ( )




rud swa
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From : Rud Swa at 04:37 PM - Dec 03, 2011 ( )
sir can we consider GDP factor has been discounted already????


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 04:33 PM - Dec 03, 2011 ( )

As things stand market is poised to witness 5100-5200. On the lower side 4910 may be a support and reversal level.In a conservative estimate 5000 can be taken as the support for downside.

December we r about to see the firework.

Caveat : I read in one of the threads that when every body is bullish, market acts in the opposite. However VIX is below 25 and definite lower trend signifying a relaxed mood.Muharam is close and Tuesday no market. FDI fiasco is on which will be over on Monday. TMC may not be able to join hands with CPM and BJP. So some hard bargain for the state is on the anvil.


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 08:58 AM - Dec 02, 2011 ( )

MARKET WILL TRY TO FILL THE GAP CREATED YESTERDAY. OTHERWISE IT WILL BE CHOPPY AND NEWS BASED. CENTRAL GOVT IS IN A QUANDARY REGARDING FDI IN RETAIL. INTERNATIONAL NEWS NOTHING TO BE EUPHORIC. 4830 - 4950 MAY NORMALLY BE THE RANGE. A FLAT TO DWN OPEN MAY BE.


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