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MARKET FROM NEXT WEEK

From : Pradip Ray at 12:10 AM - Sep 03, 2011 ( )
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WHAT DO U GUYS FEEL ABOUT THE MARKET NXT WEEK ? GENERAL GUT FEEL: EW FEEL; TECHNICAL FEEL; NEWS BASED FEEL; EXPECTANCY FEEL ; RETRACEMENT FEEL ; STOCK SPECIFIC FEEL ; SECTOR SPECIFIC FEEL ; FII/DII  SPECIFIC FEEL; RBI FEEL;INFLATION FEEL ; ANY OTHER FEEL?

NIFTY CHART GAVE AN EV STAR TO DAY ? EID KA CHAND;KHUSI KA DIN .THOSE IN SHT SIDE AND THOSE IN THE LONG SIDE WOULD TEND TO INTERPRET IT IN HIS OWN WAY. WHICH SIDE R U?



From: pradip ray at 08:37 AM - Sep 20, 2011


20.09.11  dow - 108; sgx nifty -17



From: pradip ray at 03:40 PM - Sep 29, 2011


TO DAY'S VIX

32.00

32.81 30.50 31.07 32.00 -2.90


From: pradip ray at 03:38 PM - Sep 30, 2011


TO DAY'S VIX - RANGEBOUND.TREND UP.

                                                                  As on Sep 30, 2011 15:30:27 hours IST

India VIX    
Open High Low Current Prev Close % Change
31.07 32.52 30.28 31.94 31.07 2.80


From: pradip ray at 10:48 PM - Apr 02, 2012


No comments !




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pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 11:53 PM - Apr 03, 2012 ( )

The trend is up. Trend line touched . Next resistance 5420 spot. Support @ 5300 spot. Gap up open usually tends to close the gap. So 5300 may be tested. But signals and Indicators are set to move up.VIX is below 20. All the indices except Pharma and, to some extent, Auto are Up. Go long with the support. BOL


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 06:16 PM - Apr 02, 2012 ( )

If any of you have been getting Rohit srivatsava's Email daily by mistakenly subscribing to the mailing list (I am one such), and if u care to read it (like me),u must have noticed how frequently this so called renowned EW analyst change his opinion for the next 1-5 days !! He keeps on harping the same thing in his NDTV appearance. A Sharekhan product, this fella , when I wrote him to reply to my query, simply avers it. 

Pls remain careful from such analyst who are not consistent and in the guise of being a self and Media proclaimed   analyst, take the traders for a ride.

It is beneath my dignity to bring the Mails and levels that he had been prescribing for the last 3-4 months -every second day changing- and touting it to be the trend for nxt 1-5 days with the tacit caveat of a trend reversal morsel . This is utter nonsense to say the least and pls avoid taking ur trading decision based on this.

Market is , as I said earlier, consolidating and Mid Caps are slowly joining (Large and Small Caps have already joined). The Parliament Session is on signifying one or the other market sensitive news everyday. But that cal only give a small  shiver-either way and sectorally. On the whole Govt needs Money and public Issue route of PSUs are a much used Golden Goose. Also the quarterly results are due now and there are reasons to believe that some sectors (eg Infra,Mining,metals,Auto,FIs,Jeme and jewellery,IT) which were a bit subdued earlier , may come up with good numbers.


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 11:42 PM - Mar 29, 2012 ( )

A new series. A new week. A new month.

Last month was pretty eventful.Railway Budget.RBI.General Budget,UP election,Parliament Session,IIP,P-note. Some are ongoing eg BRICS meeting, Parliament debate. Market may skyrocket (200-300 Rs up move) as Shares of no of PSUs are expected to hit the market to fill Govt coffer and they must get the intended red herring and subscription from retail investors. Europe crises are far from over .However they will be brought out as the proverbial golden goose. Next week Market may consolidate around 5100-5200 b4 giving the direction. Mid caps will be the real driver.

I will look for a daily move rather than a long horizon.


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 11:52 PM - Mar 27, 2012 ( )

The prediction got vindicated. Spot NIFTY 5243. Harami Type ;would give some up movement. 50 DMA spot is 5250. Tested to day,Gap up open. Gap closed to day itself. All set for a upmove.5180  - 100 DMA is generally accepted SL.But it seems too deep. I will act Bullish


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 11:45 PM - Mar 25, 2012 ( )

So an up move ?

Foreign investors pumped in USD 387 million (about Rs 1,982 crore) in the Indian stock markets last week, taking the year-to-date total to a massive USD 8,992.90 million (Rs 44,686.40 crore) this year.


venkat raman
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From : Venkat Raman at 06:37 PM - Mar 23, 2012 ( )

Sir,

Thank you for sharing.

Manufacturing scams adds to GDP Growth.( GDP = GOD DAMNED POLITICIANS)


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 05:32 PM - Mar 23, 2012 ( )

And now ! What dousay my friends ! 5000-5600 - looks an awesome range within which we r moving !! Today the coal scam seems to have forgotten. Some other may be in the queue.

Where is Anuja now a days !? The 6000 - 4000 type of year end option seems a practical approach. We can discuss it again. May be .


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 11:38 PM - Mar 22, 2012 ( )

Consider to day's move as an aberation. After all Scam based down move can not be taken for a computation.Or EW fortells that too ? Or Amabasya move !! Waiting for the Friday / Monday blue. Green or Red.


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 03:47 PM - Mar 22, 2012 ( )

So exhaustion it is. Or shake out !!Remember this !! 5200spot is the next support. Breaking and piercing 5160 is bad . RIL moved dwn by 3-4 % and Mrkt dwn by 2 %. So the panacea for bulls - pull up RIL from present 735 to 765- 4 % to bring back NIFTY to 5330. On the other hand bears would do just the reverse. Let us c the Sumbha-Nishumbha war.

From : Pradip Ray at 09:19 AM - Mar 20, 2012 (2 days ago)

 

Thought to share this


RELIANCE KG-D6 block have hit an all-time low production of about 28MMSCMD, if the stock goes below Rs.740 then chances of more correction is possible and 36month low is Rs.689.


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 11:05 PM - Mar 21, 2012 ( )

By this week end 5500 ? Or exhaustion ?


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 12:20 PM - Mar 21, 2012 ( )

Now I will request the panic mongers to stay clear or put a caveat / reason for such gloomy threatening call. Stick to ur technicals and voila ! u will get the result. Listen to this with care.


VENKATA NARASIMHA RAO POGIRI
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From : Venkata Narasimha Rao Pogiri at 10:29 AM - Mar 21, 2012 ( )

GM Praip Sir


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 10:27 AM - Mar 21, 2012 ( )

No response ! U ppl relegated me in the realm of OLDIES,! I think it is time to follow the vote result.


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 09:52 AM - Mar 21, 2012 ( )

Any body cared ! Keep ur SL dip.

From : Pradip Ray at 03:53 PM - Mar 20, 2012 (18 hours ago)

  

Now chk the news item flashed min b4 the stock market opened. And Nifty kept on dancing to the tune of RIL. If this is not manipulation, then what is ??!!

As I have posted , NIFTY spot did hover around 5300 but could not cross it. The aroma /foul smell (matter of perception) of BEAR is there. But the soldiers are waiting at 5250 , 5200 and finally, at 5160 .

So the strategy, As soon as NIFTY pierces 5250 and goes down by 10-15 points, go long in NIFTY or high beta stocks. For NIFTY give a 10-15 point SL.Chk the BB envelope. If there are Doji dwn the line,u r going to c an upmove. Else SL hit and reverse the trade. Watch it on paper and with ,say RIL,SBIN,TSL,Axis,LnT to develop confi.

BOL.


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 09:00 PM - Mar 20, 2012 ( )

This is what I posted yesterday and it came out true. Not necessarily makes me any better or worse TA.

....4 consecutive black candles. A respite to morrow is highly likely.....

For to morrow with the Morning star in Nifty and Bank Nifty and RELIANCE babu, expect to see a magic. Chk my preceeding post for a strategy to combat such an eventuality.



pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 03:53 PM - Mar 20, 2012 ( )

Now chk the news item flashed min b4 the stock market opened. And Nifty kept on dancing to the tune of RIL. If this is not manipulation, then what is ??!!

As I have posted , NIFTY spot did hover around 5300 but could not cross it. The aroma /foul smell (matter of perception) of BEAR is there. But the soldiers are waiting at 5250 , 5200 and finally, at 5160 .

So the strategy, As soon as NIFTY pierces 5250 and goes down by 10-15 points, go long in NIFTY or high beta stocks. For NIFTY give a 10-15 point SL.Chk the BB envelope. If there are Doji dwn the line,u r going to c an upmove. Else SL hit and reverse the trade. Watch it on paper and with ,say RIL,SBIN,TSL,Axis,LnT to develop confi.

BOL.


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 09:19 AM - Mar 20, 2012 ( )

 

Thought to share this


RELIANCE KG-D6 block have hit an all-time low production of about 28MMSCMD, if the stock goes below Rs.740 then chances of more correction is possible and 36month low is Rs.689.


Ashu A
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From : Ashu A at 09:43 PM - Mar 19, 2012 ( )

From : Pradip Ray at 09:37 PM - Mar 19, 2012 (3 minutes ago)
Ys.To day NIFTY spot ended below 5300. The tell tale sign of a down trend.And look at the NIFTY candle (EOD). Looks like piercing down like a knife 5200. But I will wait 3-4 days more. Budget discussion is on and any time anything can happen. I would see a trend reversal ; else start buying stocks. 4 consecutive black candles. A respite to morrow is highly likely. DMA supports are upto 5160. Let us c.

THAT IS THE CRUX INDEED!


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 09:37 PM - Mar 19, 2012 ( )

Ys.To day NIFTY spot ended below 5300. The tell tale sign of a down trend.And look at the NIFTY candle (EOD). Looks like piercing down like a knife 5200. But I will wait 3-4 days more. Budget discussion is on and any time anything can happen. I would see a trend reversal ; else start buying stocks. 4 consecutive black candles. A respite to morrow is highly likely. DMA supports are upto 5160. Let us c.


pradip ray
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From : Pradip Ray at 12:02 AM - Mar 18, 2012 ( )

I will wait for NIFTY to close below 5300 next week to accept the bear hug. Else I will watch it to move in a sine curve .


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