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Kripakar Kumble

Kripakar Kumble

City: mumbai

Joining Date: 04 May , 2011
Last Login: 11:13 AM - 24 Apr , 2019
IP Address of Last Login - 115.69.247.xxx
Profile Verified by Mobile.

Reply for: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 11:13 AM - Apr 24, 2019 ( )

chai paani trade...

Reply for: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 11:39 PM - Apr 23, 2019 ( )

Hi friends..

Nifty (spot) closed today at 11575.95  again in the negetive zone

Today there  was an opportunity for trade  as nifty moved twice near to the mid way mark we were expecting.  But the movement was 15/ 20 points shorter than expected. 

TTP for tomorrow is  11616

Happy trading

Reply for: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 12:15 PM - Apr 23, 2019 ( )

Thank you Balan ji, Ayurdha ji  and Vivek ji

I am expecting nifty (spot) to reach somewhere around 11675 / 11680

So far it has come near to 11644+  only.

Lets see how it goes

Reply for: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 11:49 PM - Apr 22, 2019 ( )



Reply for: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 11:48 PM - Apr 22, 2019 ( )

Hi friends..

Nifty (spot) has closed at 11594.45  and it has closed in the negetive.

TTP for tomorrow is 11722.

Nifty is approx 130 points below this point.

Hope to get a chance for halfway mark tomorrow from the opening.  

But as of now  short term trend is negetive

Happy trading

 

Reply for: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 10:06 AM - Apr 22, 2019 ( )

Hi friends..

No clear TTP for today

However,  there is  chance that nifty (spot) may move towards 11777  once again in couple of days

Happy trading..

Reply for: NIFTY FORECAST - FORTNIGHTLY

Kripakar Kumble at 10:04 AM - Apr 22, 2019 ( )

Thank you Balan ji  &  Srnivas ji

 

Reply for: NIFTY FORECAST - FORTNIGHTLY

Kripakar Kumble at 10:16 PM - Apr 21, 2019 ( )

Hi Aayurda Mali ji

The next forecast for Nifty (spot) stands at 11679

Let's see how it goes

Reply for: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 10:19 AM - Apr 18, 2019 ( )

chaai paani trade...

Reply for: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 10:07 AM - Apr 18, 2019 ( )

Hi...Good morning friends..

Broad range for nifty (spot) today is  11783 to 11632

TTP for nifty (spot) today is 11783

Happy trading

 

Reply for: NIFTY FORECAST - FORTNIGHTLY

Kripakar Kumble at 01:51 PM - Apr 16, 2019 ( )

Nobody observed this it seems.

Waste of time..

Reply for: SHREE MAHALAKSHMI BEEJ MANTRA - for wealth

Kripakar Kumble at 12:22 PM - Apr 16, 2019 ( )

Om Hreem Shreem Lakshmibhyo Namah : 

Om Hreem Shreem Lakshmibhyo Namah : 

Om Hreem Shreem Lakshmibhyo Namah : 

Om Hreem Shreem Lakshmibhyo Namah : 

Om Hreem Shreem Lakshmibhyo Namah : 

Om Hreem Shreem Lakshmibhyo Namah : 

Om Hreem Shreem Lakshmibhyo Namah : 

Om Hreem Shreem Lakshmibhyo Namah : 

Reply for: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 10:18 AM - Apr 16, 2019 ( )

chai paani  hojayega...

Reply for: NIFTY FORECAST - FORTNIGHTLY

Kripakar Kumble at 10:15 AM - Apr 16, 2019 ( )

11777....  target achieved....

Reply for: NIFTY FORECAST - FORTNIGHTLY

Kripakar Kumble at 09:59 AM - Apr 16, 2019 ( )

11775.50 ......

Kripakar Kumble at 12:09 PM - Apr 10, 2019 ( )

Hi friends...

Starting one more trial for  this strategy just for observation

As on End of day yesterday  Forecast for next 15 days is 11777

hope this time it goes well

Just observing.

Reply for: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 09:54 AM - Apr 16, 2019 ( )

Hi...good morning friends..

Range for nifty (spot) for today is 11771- 11685

TTP for nifty (spot) today is 11771

Happy trading

Reply for: NIFTY FORECAST - FORTNIGHTLY

Kripakar Kumble at 09:46 AM - Apr 16, 2019 ( )

How is the josh...??

Reply for: NIFTY FORECAST - FORTNIGHTLY

Kripakar Kumble at 09:41 AM - Apr 16, 2019 ( )

Nifty (spot) made 11760+

Reply for: NIFTY FORECAST - FORTNIGHTLY

Kripakar Kumble at 02:31 PM - Apr 15, 2019 ( )

Nifty (spot)  slowly moving above 11700+

Reply for: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 10:19 AM - Apr 15, 2019 ( )

1st chai pani trade over

New Thread: NIFTY FORECAST - FORTNIGHTLY

Kripakar Kumble at 06:55 PM - Jul 22, 2018 ( )

Hi friends..

This is an attempt to forecast nifty  for period of next  15 to 25 days.

Don’t ask me the method of this forecast.  It is all my own crude methods.

I have back tested this and found that the results are good enough. 

Therefore putting it for observation.

Please note that  forecast  will be on daily basis.  However,  on many days  the forecasted value may be very closer to current day close of nifty.  Such forecasts may be ignored. 

When to trade ?

Ideally,  only when the difference between the current close and forecasted value is more than 50 points (or significantly higher),  then there is fair chance of trade.

On back testing we found,   the  Number of days  and the probability of achieving forecasted value (in %) are as below :

No. of days 3 5 10 15
Forecast probability % 61 75 82 85

 

Ie.  Chance of achieving the forecast value within 5 days  is nearly 75%

      Chance of achieving the forecast value within 15 days  is nearly 85%

 

Stop loss is according to the loss bearing capacity.

Lets see how it goes… Wait for the forecast…

Happy trading..

 

Disclaimer : 

This post is for observation/study purpose only and not a trading recommendation for anybody.

Investment is stock market is risky as market dynamics can change at any time.   Views expressed here are  my personal view only  not a trading recommendation to anybody.  Past performance doesnt guarantee future success. Traders have to study and take their own decision before entering into trade.  I am not liable for any profit or loss which may arise  because of using my personal views blindly.   I may or may not have positions in  Stocks or Nifty. 

 


From: Kripakar kumble at 09:20 PM - Jul 25, 2018( )


Basis the back tested data, we noticed that the wrong forecasts so far were maximum 4 days continuously
From: Kripakar kumble at 04:24 PM - Aug 08, 2018( )


This thread will be closed for some time...


From: Kripakar kumble at 09:24 PM - Sep 07, 2018( )


Hi friends..

as per request,  posting once again.

As mentioned above,  this is an attempt to forecast NIFTY (spot)  for a period of next 15/20 trading days.  This forecast will give an idea where nifty can reach within next 15 days with a fair degree of confidence.   

This  forecast may be useful if used with other set of tools or methods available to make a  trading strategy .

This is not a 100% sure shot  forecast.  Success rate is approximately 85% (with a horizon of 15 days).

In some cases,  forecast may be achieved on the very next day  or within 3 to 5 days.  In some cases one may have to wait for 10 days or  more than 10 trading days...  

How to use it ?

Whenever a forecast is given (at the end of day),   if the forecast is on the higher side,   then on the following day  or thereafter,  one can enter  a BUY trade approximately 30/40 points below the CLOSE  or significantly below the CLOSE  of forecasting day.

Similarly,  if the forecast is on the lower side,  then  on the following day  or thereafter,   one can enter SELL trade approximately 30/40 points above the CLOSE  or significantly above the CLOSE of forecasting day.

In either case,  a stop loss is must according to the capacity.

New Thread: Option trading - concepts and how to use it ?

Kripakar Kumble at 05:10 PM - Jun 27, 2018 ( )

Hi.. friends..

I am still learning  Option trading   and  its concepts.

Though i  know  PUT,  CALL, Open interest data,  and basic concepts of Gama, Theta,  Vega  etc...  

Can somebody explain how to use all these information conclusively to  get  a clear picture of the trend of stock or indices please...

All are welcome to post...


From: Kripakar kumble at 05:12 PM - Jun 27, 2018( )


Request all technical experts , Critics  and all freinds  to throw some light on these concepts please...

New Thread: MAALAMAAL DAILY

Kripakar Kumble at 08:49 PM - May 13, 2018 ( )

Hi friends..

Here i will be posting some of the scrips which are eligible for trading in my view.  Tried to combine some of my own methods for stock picking.   May require some more study.    In some cases risk reward ratio may not be in favour.

This post is for  my own research  and observation  purpose  and not a trading tip to anybody.

 

Disclaimer :

Views expressed here is my personal views  only  and  not a trading tip for anybody.  I may or may not have positions in any of the scrips mentioned.  Members are requested to study and take their own decision.  I am not liable for the profit or loss which may occur by following this post blindly

 


From: Kripakar kumble at 11:04 PM - May 14, 2018( )


Please note that, stop loss given is an indicative stop loss which may vary from person to person
From: Kripakar kumble at 11:00 PM - May 15, 2018( )


All trades are valid only after first 15/20 minutes of opening. One should allow first 15/20 minutes for market to settle down.

New Thread: Swing Trade - using EXCEL

Kripakar Kumble at 10:59 PM - Apr 01, 2018 ( )

Hi  friends..

This is an attempt  have a simple to get an idea for picking up stocks or nifty for positional trade.

Created a worksheet for the same in Excel using swing trade calculation.

Sharing the same,  for the benefit  of small novice trader like me.  Experts and  genius peole can avoind this  as they don’t need any of these things.

Calculation is bit complicated.   But given the formula here.   You have to just copy paste it in respective cells. 

 

Swing Tade  - Calculation in Excel

Let the data is stored in  columns  A  B  C D E   F   are      date,  open,  high , low , close,  Qty  respectively.

We need seven more columns  G  H I  J  K L M  for swing calculation

Format is given below

After the heading,  in C3 column,  enter a value as 0.035.  This value is very important which will decide the swing.  (this value you can change and experimentt as per your requirement)

Let the  data start from  5th row onwards

Ie.. A5  to  F5,   date,  open,  high , low , close,  Qty   are stored

 

Formulas :

In G5 cell,  enter the formula      =C5

In H5 cell,  enter the formula      = D5

In  I5 cell,  enter the formula      =IF(E5>(G5+H5),-1,1)

In  J5 cell,  enter the formula      =G5

In  K5 cell,  enter the formula     =H5

In  L5 cell,  enter the formula      =(J5+K5)/2

In  M5 cell,  enter the formula    =IF(E5<L5,"Sell", "Buy")

 

In G6 cell,  enter the formula      = IF(AND($I5=-1,C6>G5),C6,   IF( $I5=1,C6, G5))

In H6 cell,  enter the formula      = IF(AND($I5=1,D6<H5),D6,   IF( $I5=-1, D6, H5))

In  I6 cell,  enter the formula      = IF($I5=-1, IF(D6<G6-$C$3*E6, 1, $I5),  IF(C6>H6+$C$3*E6, -1, $I5))

In  J6 cell,  enter the formula      =IF(AND($I6=1, I5=-1), G6, J5)

In  K6 cell,  enter the formula     =IF(AND($I6=-1, I5=1), H6, K5)

In  L6 cell,  enter the formula      =(J6+K6)/2

In  M6 cell,  enter the formula    =IF(E6<L6,"Sell", "Buy")

Copy the formula from G6 to  M6 downwards,  your worksheet is ready with Swing Singal

 

This  worksheet is useful to  do  positional trading,  as it gives sufficiently long trend to trade.

If you liked this  idea,   kindly  click on LIKE  and post your comments please

Happy trading

 

 


From: Kripakar kumble at 11:02 PM - Apr 01, 2018( )









From: Kripakar kumble at 11:04 PM - Apr 01, 2018( )


** typo error..

This is an attempt  have a simple TOOL to get an idea for picking up stocks or nifty for positional trade.

New Thread: Budget 2018- high lights

Kripakar Kumble at 01:30 PM - Feb 01, 2018 ( )

Highlights of Union Budget 2018

* Current Indian economy is of 2.5 trillion USD

* GDP for year 2018-19 to be seen At 7.4%

* Growth to be seen from 8% to 15%

* Fiscal Deficit 3.5% of GDP (17-18 ) and taget 3.3% (18-19)

* MSEM's turnover up to Rs.250crs tax slab will be 25%

* No changes in Personal Income Tax structure

* Rs.40000 Standard deduction to salaried taxpayers😁😁

* Sr. Citizen income from interest non TDS limit increase from Rs.10000 to Rs.50000😁

* 80D limits for Sr.citizen increases from Rs.30000 to Rs.50000 (mediclaim) 😁

* Disinvrstments targets are Rs.80000 crs for FY 18-19 😁😁

* LTCG on equity 10% applicable on above 1 lac investments 😞😞

* 10000 Crs allocation for Fishiers , Aquaculture

* Exports to grow at 15%

* Double Farmers income by 2022

* MSP for kharif crops to be 1.5× cost of production

* Help for Affordable homes 51 lac in Rural and 37 lac in Urban areas

* 8cr poor women will be given free GAS connections

* National health protection scheme for 10cr poor families (Rs.5 lac free health care)

* Allocation of Rs.1000 crs for RISE

* Rs.3794 crs allocation for credit support to MSME's

* Target Mundra loan of 3 lac crs next FY

* Setting 24 new govt medical colleges

* Allocation of Rs.7148 cr to textile sector

* 1400 crs allocation for food processing sector

* Highway construction target of 9000 kms by year end

* 1.48 lac crs allocation to Railways

* More then 25000 foot falls will have elevators

* Allocation of 17000 crs to Bengluru for Metro Network

* Allocation of 11000crs to Mumbai Railway

* Outlay 2.04 lakh crs for smart cities

* SEBI to mandating large corporates for 25% Debt from market

* Do not consider cryptocurriences as legal tender

* Allocation to Digital India Rs.373 crs

* Proposes extra expenditure on Infra of Rs.5.97 lakh crs

This Union Budget seen as Rural and Infra

New Thread: Is NIFTY is at its peak now ?

Kripakar Kumble at 12:27 AM - Aug 23, 2015 ( )

Hi friends....

just some food for thought.

If we see the past history of NIFTY,  there is a major correction cycle in every 8 years.

If the same scenario continues, then 2015/16 may be another correction year.   

See the following data..

year Min Max Correction %
1990 279.02 480.38  
1991 306.22 572.28  
1992 572.82 1280.92 53.2
1993 599.51 1069.78  
1994 1082.80 1384.94  
1995 843.68 1182.14  
1996 775.43 1203.11  
1997 905.20 1297.10  
1998 800.10 1247.15  
1999 882.60 1522.85  
2000 1108.20 1818.15 53.3
2001 849.95 1422.95  
2002 920.10 1205.95  
2003 920.00 1914.40  
2004 1292.20 2088.45  
2005 1894.40 2857.00  
2006 2595.65 4046.85  
2007 3554.50 6185.40  
2008 2252.75 6357.10 64.6
2009 2539.45 5221.85  
2010 4675.40 6338.50  
2011 4531.15 6181.05  
2012 4588.05 5965.15  
2013 5118.85 6415.25  
2014 5933.30 8626.95  
2015 7940.30 9119.20  
2016      

i think  2015/16,  there may be a major correction.

What do you all think ?

 

 

 

 

 

New Thread: Find Trend- All you need is 4 lines in your chart

Kripakar Kumble at 09:08 PM - Aug 21, 2015 ( )

Hi friends...

one more from KK's factory.

To understand the trend,  all you need is  4  lines   ( i have given the name  KK lines)  in your chart...

2 lines for short term (10 to 20 days horizon)

2 lines for medium term (40 to 60 days horizon)

Thats it....  nothing more is required.

...

details will post soon...



From: Kripakar kumble at 11:58 AM - Aug 22, 2015( )


Ok friends...

here we go...

This is for NIFTY

Step 1:   Take a candle chart with 100 days data

 

Step 2:

For medium term trend (40 to 60 days horizon)..

You have draw two lines as below

1) from the recent top,  draw a line downwards with 20degrees angle

2) from the recent low,  draw a line upwards with 18 degrees angle.

 

How to trade ?:

As long as NIFTY is trading below the 20 degree angle,  then medium term trend is DOWN

As long as NIFTY is trading above 20 degree angle,  then medium term trend is strong UP

 

Similarly..

Step 3:

For short term trend ( 10 to 20 days horizon) :

You have draw two lines as below

1) from the recent top,  draw a line downwards with 43degrees angle

2) from the recent low,  draw a line upwards with 27 degrees angle.

 

How to trade ?:

As long as NIFTY is trading below the 43 degree angle,  then short term trend is DOWN

As long as NIFTY is trading above 27 degree angle, the short term trend is UP

 

check this by taking every 100 days data....

give me your feed back please

 



From: Kripakar kumble at 12:02 PM - Aug 22, 2015( )


Sorry typo error..

 

For medium term trend (40 to 60 days horizon)..

You have draw two lines as below

1) from the recent top,  draw a line downwards with 20degrees angle

2) from the recent low,  draw a line upwards with 18 degrees angle.

 

How to trade ?:

As long as NIFTY is trading below the 20 degree angle,  then medium term trend is DOWN

As long as NIFTY is trading above 18 degree angle,  then medium term trend is strong UP

New Thread: Most likely trade point - NIFTY (spot) for tomorrow

Kripakar Kumble at 12:13 PM - Jul 18, 2015 ( )

Hi friends..

this is just a vision from KK's factory.   

I am trying to find out most likely trade point of NIFTY (spot) for the next day  basis previous few days of nifty values.

 ie.   i mean  the value of nifty  which i believe it  will definitely  touch in next days trading with some degree of accuracy ( at least 80% to 90%).  

This is not the target of nifty on EOD basis.  This is a point which nifty will most likely going to touch during the day.

Even if it is going to give 15 to 20 points profit also Ok.

Kindly share your ideas how we can go about this ... what should be the strategy to enter the trade  and exit .

waiting for your ideas..

New Thread: 50+ or 100+ Nif T ( kk )

Kripakar Kumble at 09:50 AM - Feb 24, 2015 ( )

Hi  friends...

COMING  SOON........

After long time coming back to  post  here in mudraa.

Here i will be posting my personal  nifty views  which  i believe may give 50+  or 100+  points.  

Dont ask me for method  or formula   or Stop loss etc

Whatever i may post will be my personal view only.   

Just watch...

Happy trading

 

New Thread: BLIND CALL (NIFTY) - KK

Kripakar Kumble at 09:29 PM - Mar 19, 2014 ( )

Hi friends.. 

Some of my friends do trade in nifty blindly.  So just thought  i will also give a try.  

This is just blind call for experimental  purpose.  No theory or chart analysis associated with this.

Just for observation  only (paper trade only).  I just want to watch how my  6th sense intution works.

 

Rules for this blind call are :

Entry should be made in the specified range only.  If nifty doesnt come to that range  then no trade

Stop loss is bit deep.  There is chance that if trade goes wrong,  then there may be a loss of approx Rs 3000/- per lot in a single trade

This is a positional trade.  Trade may be carried for next day sometime or for maximum  2 days from the entry day

If nifty comes into the trading range specified for the call,   then call is treated as activated

 

Only for observation.  Not for real  trading

 



From: Kripakar kumble at 06:24 PM - Mar 20, 2014( )


Though the target is given,  one need not have to wait for the exact target as this is a blind call.

If the trade makes some decent profit,  can always be booked.

New Thread: Trade Diary ( KK)

Kripakar Kumble at 11:26 AM - Mar 13, 2014 ( )

Hi friends..

I was posting my views in all different threads so far.

Henceforth i will be posting my views on nifty and other stocks in this single thread only.  I will use only this thread for all my posts.

This thread is only for mutual discussion and educational purpose.  Not a trading tip for anybody

Thank you

 

Disclaimer :

Investment is stock market is risky as market dynamics can change at any time.   Views expressed here are  my personal view only  not a trading recommendation to anybody.  Traders have to study and take their own decision before entering into trade.  I am not liable for any profit or loss which may arise  because of using my personal views blindly.   I may or may not have positions in  Stocks or Nifty.

Hi friends…

This is my nifty (spot) forecast for next week  ie from   03-Mar-2014 to  07-Mar-2014

Important levels of NIFTY (spot) for next week are

6170          6238         6259          6293         

Current  trend is UP

Nifty spot has currently closed at 6276.95 on Friday (28/2/2014).

As long as nifty spot stays above 6238, trend would be UP. 

Between 6170 & 6238  it is small trade area where one can take chance for catching 10 to 15 points or more move.

 

If nifty  could cross 6293 and sustain, then there is chance that nifty may go upto 6349 during the week.

 

If nifty spot falls below 6170 and sustain,  then down trend will continue and next immediate down target would be 6149  breaking which nifty may fall towards 6115 also. 

 

Fibonacci retracements :

From the high and low of last 4 months data,  Fibonacci retracements from the high are ..

@11.4%      =  6360

@23.6%      =  6301

@38.2%      =  6231

@61.8%      =  6117

@78.6%      =  6036

Nifty has currently closed at 6276.95 which is above 38.2% retracement level. 

 

Moving averages :

9days EMA     = 6168

34days EMA   = 6151

50days SMA   = 6183

100days SMA = 6173

200days SMA = 5987

Nifty has currently closed at 6276.95 which is above all the moving averages   

 

Conclusion :

Basis all these facts mentioned above,  in the current scenario,  Nifty has closed above  all the averages. 

Current trend is UP

This weeks NIFTY forecast range is 6238 to  6349

If nifty  could cross 6293 and sustain, then there is chance that nifty may go upto 6349 during the week.

If nifty spot falls below 6170 and sustain,  then down trend will continue and next immediate down target would be 6149. 


Disclaimer :

 

Investment is stock market is risky as market dynamics can change at any time.   Above post is my personal view only  not a trading recommendation to anybody.  Traders have to study and take their own decision before entering into trade.  I am not liable for any profit or loss which may arise  because of my above views.   I may or may not have positions in  Stocks or Nifty.

New Thread: NIFTY trend change finder - 9ema

Kripakar Kumble at 06:45 PM - Mar 01, 2014 ( )

Hi friends

This is one of the trend change finding methods using 9ema.   Method is same but with some minor modifications by KK’s factory

Method :

  • Calculate 9 days EMA for nifty
  • Calculate the difference between previous days 9ema and current days 9ema

 

Copy the formula for the entire historical data set.

Now you can find  difference  as  +ve number series   or  -ve number series basis the current trend  which is going on.

When to enter the trade ?

If the current trend is UP  and accordingly  difference will be +ve numbers.  When the number changes to –ve  and difference is more than -0.06% of current days close value, then SELL

Similarly,

If the current trend is DOWN and accordingly the difference will be –ve numbers.  When the number changes to +ve  and the difference is more  than +0.06% of current days close value, then BUY.

Accuracy of this method is almost 85 to 87%

Kindly back test with past data and confirm your findings.

Thank you



From: Kripakar kumble at 06:53 PM - Mar 01, 2014( )


Suggestions and criticism to improve this method is always welcome



From: Kripakar kumble at 10:22 AM - Mar 02, 2014( )






From: Kripakar kumble at 09:25 PM - Apr 16, 2014( )


How to calculate 9ema ?

Assuming that your data in excel is arranged as follows with the headings :

 Date,  open,  high,  low,  close,  9ema   are in column A, B,C,D, E, F  respectively  and the  the  data starts from 2nd row.

Assuming that your data is in ascending order datewise.

You want to calculate 9ema in the F column

On the first 9th day (ie in 10th row)  F column  (F10 cell),  type the formula  =average(E2:E10)

this will calculate the 9days simple moving average on F10 cell

in F11 cell,  type the 9ema formula   = (E11 - F10 )*2/10  + F10

Now you will get 9ema value in F11 cell.   Copy this formula downwards throught your data in F column

Thats it.

Take at least last 6 months data and try it.

thank u

 

 

Hi friends…

This is my nifty (spot) forecast for next week  ie from   24-Feb-2014 to  28-Feb-2014

Important levels of NIFTY (spot) for next week are

6054          6119          6172          6226

Current Major trend is DOWN.

Current Minor (intermediate) trend is UP

 

Nifty spot has currently closed at 6155.45 on Friday (21/2/2014).

As long as nifty spot stays above 6119, intermediate(minor) trend would be UP

Between 6054 & 6119,  it is small trade area where one can take chance for catching 10 to 15 points or more move.

 

If nifty  could cross 6172 and sustain, then there is chance that nifty may go upto 6226 during the week.

If nifty spot falls below 6054 and sustain,  then down trend will continue and next immediate down target would be 6012 breaking which nifty may fall towards 5955 also. 

 

Fibonacci retracements :

From the high and low of last 4 months data,  Fibonacci retracements from the high are ..

@11.4%      =  6360

@23.6%      =  6301

@38.2%      =  6231

@61.8%      =  6117

@78.6%      =  6036

Nifty has currently closed at 6155.45 which is above 61.8% retracement level. 

 

Moving averages :

9days EMA     = 6097

34days EMA   = 6131

50days SMA   = 6180

100days SMA = 6160

200days SMA = 5984

Nifty has currently closed at 6155.45 which is almost near to 100 days MA.   

 

Conclusion :

Basis all these facts mentioned above,  in the current scenario,  Nifty has closed near to the 100 days MA. 

Current Major trend is DOWN.

Current intermediate (minor) trend is UP

This weeks NIFTY forecast range is 6054  to  6226

If nifty  could cross 6172 and sustain, then there is chance that nifty may go upto 6226 during the week.

If nifty spot falls below 6054 and sustain,  then down trend will continue and next immediate down target would be 6012. 

 

Disclaimer :

 

Investment is stock market is risky as market dynamics can change at any time.   Above post is my personal view only  not a trading recommendation to anybody.  Traders have to study and take their own decision before entering into trade.  I am not liable for any profit or loss which may arise  because of my above views.   I may or may not have positions in  Stocks or Nifty.

 

Hi friends…

This is my nifty (spot) forecast for next week  ie from   17-Feb-2014 to  21-Feb-2014

 

Important levels of NIFTY (spot) for next week are

5971            6027          6072          6139

 

Current Major trend is DOWN.

Current Minor (intermediate) trend is DOWN.

 

Nifty spot has currently closed at 6048.35 on Friday (14/2/2014).

For any up move in nifty to begin,  nifty spot has to cross 6072 first and sustain. 

 

If nifty  could cross 6072 and sustain, then very short term uptrend will begin which may take nifty spot upto 6139 during the week.

 

If nifty spot falls below 6027 and sustain,  then down trend will continue and next immediate down target would be 5971 breaking which nifty may fall towards 5926 also this week. 

 

Fibonacci retracements :

From the high and low of last 4 months data,  Fibonacci retracements from the high are ..

@11.4%      =  6360

@23.6%      =  6301

@38.2%      =  6231

@61.8%      =  6117

@78.6%      =  6036

Nifty has currently closed at 6048.35 which is below  61.8% retracement level. 

 

Moving averages :

9days EMA     = 6059

34days EMA   = 6134

50days SMA   = 6199

100days SMA = 6146

200days SMA = 5982

Nifty has currently closed at 6048.35 which is n below 100 days MA.  200days SMA which is the only support left at 5982   

 

 

Conclusion :

Basis all these facts mentioned above,  in the current scenario,  Nifty has closed near to the crucial trend turning point. 

Current trend is DOWN.

This weeks NIFTY forecast range is 6027  to  6139

If nifty spot stays below 6027, trend would be down

If nifty spot could cross 6072 and sustain above,  minor trend will be UP

 

 

Disclaimer :

Investment is stock market is risky as market dynamics can change at any time.   Above post is my personal view only  not a trading recommendation to anybody.  Traders have to study and take their own decision before entering into trade.  I am not liable for any profit or loss which may arise  because of my above views.   I may or may not have positions in  Stocks or Nifty.

Hi friends…

This is my nifty (spot) forecast for next week  ie from   10-Feb-2014 to  14-Feb-2014

 

Important levels of NIFTY (spot) for next week are

6073          6101           6132              6177

 

Major trend is still DOWN  however a very short term minor UP trend is just shaping up.

 

Nifty spot has currently closed at 6063.20 on Friday (07/02/2014).

 

If nifty  could cross 6132 and sustain, then very short term uptrend will begin which may take nifty spot upto 6200.

 

If nifty spot falls below or trades below  6073 and sustain,  then down trend will continue and next immediate down target would be 6006.

 

Fibonacci retracements :

From the high and low of last 4 months data,  Fibonacci retracements from the high are ..

@11.4%      =  6360

@23.6%      =  6301

@38.2%      =  6231

@61.8%      =  6117

@78.6%      =  6036

Nifty has currently closed at 6063.20  which is below  61.8% retracement level. 

 

 

Moving averages :

9days EMA     = 6071

34days EMA   = 6163

50days SMA   = 6215

100days SMA = 6142

200days SMA = 5979

Nifty has currently closed at 6063.20 which is n below 100 days MA.  200days SMA which is the only support left at 5979.  .   

 

 

Conclusion :

Basis all these facts mentioned above,  in the current scenario,  though the major trend is still down,  a minor up trend is just shaping up is seen on the last day of this week(07/02/2014).

Next weeks (10/2/2014 to 14/2/2014) NIFTY forecast range is 6101  to  6177

Therefore if nifty spot cross 6132 and sustain,  then short term uptrend may begin. 

If nifty spot stays below 6073, trend would be down

Happy trading..

 

Disclaimer :

Investment is stock market is risky as market dynamics can change at any time.   Above post is my personal view only  not a trading recommendation to anybody.  Traders have to study and take their own decision before entering into trade.  I am not liable for any profit or loss which may arise  because of my above views.   I may or may not have positions in  Stocks or Nifty.


Hi friends…

This is my nifty (spot) forecast for next week  ie from   03-Feb-2014 to  07-Feb-2014

 

Important levels of NIFTY (spot) for next week are

6059            6127          6160          6228

 

Current trend is DOWN.

 

Nifty spot has currently closed at 6089.50 on Friday (31/1/2014).

For any up move in nifty to begin,  nifty spot has to cross 6127 first. 

 

If nifty  could cross 6160 and sustain, then very short term uptrend will begin which may take nifty spot upto 6228.

 

If nifty spot falls below 6059 and sustain,  then down trend will continue and next immediate down target would be 5980. 

 

Fibonacci retracements :

From the high and low of last 4 months data,  Fibonacci retracements from the high are ..

@11.4%      =  6348

@23.6%      =  6276

@38.2%      =  6190

@61.8%      =  6051

@78.6%      =  5952

Nifty has currently closed at 6089.50  which is below  38.2% retracement level. 

 

 

Moving averages :

9days EMA     = 6167

34days EMA   = 6210

50days SMA   = 6222

100days SMA = 6134

200days SMA = 5973

Nifty has currently closed at 6089.50 which is n below 100 days MA.  200days SMA which is the only support left at 5973.  .   

 

 

Conclusion :

Basis all these facts mentioned above,  in the current scenario,  the trend  looks downwards.

This weeks NIFTY forecast range is 6127  to  6228

Therefore if nifty spot cross 6127 and sustain,  then short term uptrend may begin. 

If nifty spot stays below 6127, trend would be down

 

 

Disclaimer :

Investment is stock market is risky as market dynamics can change at any time.   Above post is my personal view only  not a trading recommendation to anybody.  Traders have to study and take their own decision before entering into trade.  I am not liable for any profit or loss which may arise  because of my above views.   I may or may not have positions in  Stocks or Nifty.

New Thread: Never failing Crude Oil trade.

Kripakar Kumble at 09:38 PM - Jun 24, 2013 ( )

Hi friends...

eureka....eureka....

I have observed a  trading method in crude oil which is above 90% success rate.....  An interesting formula.....

Happy trading...

 



From: Kripakar kumble at 11:02 PM - Jun 24, 2013( )



This method is not for intraday trading.

It is only for positional trading...

New Thread: My views on NIFTY (spot)

Kripakar Kumble at 08:55 AM - Apr 30, 2013 ( )

hi friends..

here i post my views on NIFTY.

This view is only for short term ( 7 to 10 trading days horizon). 

Disclaimer :

Please note that  these are my personal views only and not a trading guidance to anyone.

 

Date :  29/4/2013

Nifty(spot) has closed at  5904.10.  Though the short term trend still looks up,  chances of a very short down move from here on is high.

5883 nifty(spot)  is the key level to watch. Once nifty starts trading below this point,  it can come down upto 5829/5812.

Similarly,  5927 (spot) is a breakout level. Once nifty cross this level and sustain,  5971 is the next stop. Above this, nifty enters next set of higher levels.

However,  according to me  a very short term correction down move is expected anytime within next few days (within 7 to 8 days) which should bring nifty down to at least 50 to 80 points from the current level (5904.10)

 

New Thread: I am not able to log in using internet explorer.

Kripakar Kumble at 09:12 PM - Mar 21, 2013 ( )

Hi friends...

i am not able to login using my internet explorer.  However with google crome,  i could log in.

What is the problem ?

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