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Shiv Prasad

Shiv Prasad

City: mumbai

Joining Date: 31 Mar , 2012
Last Login: 10:06 PM - 12 Jul , 2017
IP Address of Last Login - 103.234.190.xxx
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Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 10:11 PM - Jul 12, 2017 ( )

Nifty hit 9735 and high  of 9830.........

As per earlier discussion...........probable target above new high-9730 is 9860-9870 or 9905

So it will find res around 9900 or so...and it will consume more time here to write off puts and calls alike

Calls above 9900 will not work well like last month when we expected 9800..

So better trade within 9673-9740-9905.......for trading purpose

Good selling will happen only below 9673 close for target of 9517-9480 with sl above 9715.......

Dont get trapped in small pull backs...........sell only below 9673.........rather if u want to go short

or short near 9900 odd with sl of 15 points 

Bye for a long time............closing this thread as unable to find time,,,,,,,,,,bye all.....

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 10:19 PM - Jul 06, 2017 ( )

One thing more..........Smart operators will use India China Conflict any time to make market swinging both sides..So in coming days..........Be prepared for any such movements..........in coming days..News will be right or wrong..price action will hit u badly..............

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 09:46 PM - Jul 06, 2017 ( )

9700 has come.......So our target is over..

Untill 9735 is not taken out...better to play with negative bias...

Market is not offering sell right now..its consolidating before a trend decider

If market does not take out 9735 within next Tuesday or so...it will go towards 9500 once again minimum..and if no support then around 9340 odd..with invalidation point being 9735 above........

So any rise up to 9700-9720 can be shorted with clear sl of 9735 above..for lower targets.If fmarket takes out 9735 above then we can expect 9860+ as discussed last month.

So 9735........for rallies.

( I am not finding strength like last time, thats why I am giving short level with sl of just 15-20 points..

It does not mean u can go and buy puts and wait for fall..........

Market will consolidate some time..watch that area..if it takes aout 9735...........rally on the way

 

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 09:39 PM - Jul 06, 2017 ( )

From : Shiv Prasad at 06:21 PM - Jun 27, 2017 ( 9 days ago)

Nifty Spot.......closed above 9491......cls at 9511.

Weakness has set in..

If it can hold todays low of 9473.........rally will continue..

Now it has become a sell on rise .

Nifty spot 9556 break will be positive for bull trades 

and above 9597 trade will bring back market to bull zone

As I said earlier also.,market will hit a high around 9671-9700 once again ....

And the first signal of the same will be breaking 9597 ............

Till then market can be range bound with 9556  and 9597  being resistances.

HNM...This was what we had expected......for June if Not in July.

Market not only failed to find support at 9473 but also broken 9448 only to make a feeling of big fall...which was a bear trap. We had expected market to rally before breaking 9473,

However its over...such fall only helped operators to sell more puts and forcing bears to short more.

Now lets c what lies ahead..

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 09:35 PM - Jul 06, 2017 ( )

From : H N Menon at 12:40 PM - Jul 05, 2017 ( a day ago)

HI DEAR

 

any view for july

 

my view 

before september new high

Sorry HNM..........I was away...........so could not reply u.smile

 

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 06:22 PM - Jun 27, 2017 ( )

watch......9470-73---------9556------9597..abv 9597...shorts should be out and longs shd be taken with sl below 9555

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 06:21 PM - Jun 27, 2017 ( )

Nifty Spot.......closed above 9491......cls at 9511.

Weakness has set in..

If it can hold todays low of 9473.........rally will continue..

Now it has become a sell on rise .

Nifty spot 9556 break will be positive for bull trades 

and above 9597 trade will bring back market to bull zone

As I said earlier also.,market will hit a high around 9671-9700 once again ....

And the first signal of the same will be breaking 9597 ............

Till then market can be range bound with 9556  and 9597  being resistances.

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 11:48 AM - Jun 27, 2017 ( )

First indication of market recovering to bull zone will be crossing nifty futures........9582....

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 11:46 AM - Jun 27, 2017 ( )

Close below 9491 will open gates for lower levels.

But we will discuss it later.......lets c if 9491 -9500 can be saved..

 

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 11:43 AM - Jun 27, 2017 ( )

Vivek,

I think market should complete correction at around 200 points from higher side..thats 9715-200=9515-9510 Nifty futures.

Or maximum 9499-95 ,

Negative news on bank sector along with no positive from Us Modi visit has paid rich dividends to bears.

I expect a testing of 9700+ once again........or atleast 9671 before market breaking Nifty spot 9491..

rally will come when every one becomes bearish.

A fall below 9491...and close below it only will end on going rally.

 

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 10:11 PM - Jun 25, 2017 ( )

Niranjan...U r right.........

9565......is the sl for all longs..

Riding Namo wave...........U s will give big positive news...

Go with positive bias till 9565 is broken.

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 10:10 PM - Jun 25, 2017 ( )

Who all expecting Bull??

Full market is expecting bear.

Motilal says 15% correction...Ask him will he advise his clients to sell out every thing?

I dont think most are bullish...Big analysts are expecting 9500-9200-8800-8200 shortly..

So 95% are bearish...and only 5% are bullish...general public

Bull market will end only when the last bear enters the bull ship...vice versa.

general public, are not out of the bearishness of December bottoms..Still u can see a lot of negative messages and put buying every month..It means general public not in a mood to accept the fact  market is in bull Zone..This will keep on some more time..

 

Reply for: Shiv V/s Mudraa

From : Shiv Prasad at 09:52 PM - Jun 25, 2017 ( )

Niranjan,

Newcomers does not make mistakes..they are new so taking extra care.

Its only old timers makes mistakes because of their over confidence and a thinking like...I have seen this market a lot...what will happen if i dont liquidate positions..

Newcomers do not know too many things..So they try to come out using little resource they have .Old timers have many tools and ideas...But not able to understand when to use which tool

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 09:44 PM - Jun 25, 2017 ( )

Tomorrow Market is on a Holiday..........

So we can expect market to open only on Tuesday.....As per my theory....

Mostly market will open at 9.00,,,,,,and start trading at 9.15.......

I expect a rally on Tuesday.........apart from a low of 9575 near it has made, i expect a fast and fury rally because of not technical reasons

But because of........P.M.Narendra Modis visit to  U.S.with Trump Uncle.

For the first time Us President will give panipuri and Dhokla to Modi Sar..

Red carpet.............ready for Narendra Modi sar.

Indian head , who is keen on reforms meeting with Business men of Biggest economy, Baap of all finances, will trigger positive energy and positive buying .......

Very big event........its not only Dhokla eating but bringing a lot of investment for India..

So watch out...First 9665-9671.........then lets c where it moves..up or down.

First 9665.........

All the very best.

Sl for longs.......Below 9565..IF it moves up and close above this..it will be making a bottom near 9600 which will work for some days as a base for futures rallies..

Like it did 9200 9300 9400 etc for the last months..

wait for one more day.

Reply for: NIfty /Market view with IFs n ButsShiv Prasad

From : Shiv Prasad at 09:35 PM - Jun 25, 2017 ( )

Wishing All my brothers and sister,

Image result for eid mubarak

Reply for: Shiv V/s Mudraa

From : Shiv Prasad at 10:28 PM - Jun 23, 2017 ( )

If u paper trade on nifty puts and calls..u will understand the importance of liquidating positions at right time..

Reply for: Shiv V/s Mudraa

From : Shiv Prasad at 10:27 PM - Jun 23, 2017 ( )

Why people are buying calls or puts?

The answer must be 

1. They have a view/intution/news about the particular movement of Index......based on it they buy  calls or puts.

2. They want to trade in more qty because of lack of funds.

3. They dont want to take naked positions.......and want to reduce the risk...so going for options.

Ok what ever may it be..

Buying any option is very easy...if u have money..u can buy any option call or puts

Ok what about profit booking.........? U want to wait for your particular level to come and sell the position...or will u wait for further fall or rise even if market reached ur levels?

Every month, crores worth Nifty and Bank nifty options are being written by big hni and funds.

Retailers buy the options calls and options along with other funds.

Here the problem is while funds must be hedging their positions in Index, small players will be buying them for quick gins which never happens and we lose all of money every month...whats the reason?

Lets c...how a small call or put buyer lose money every month..

Market is at 9500....market has given negative closing.

Mr. G.T  ( General Trader) thinks market will further fall and goes for Put buying..

He expect market to hit 9400,,,,,market falls..

rate of puts goes up and he finds a lot of sell calls and crash calls..

instead of selling...he keeps holding it for bigger gains..market again moves up after retracement and make highs..his puts are getting eroded every day..

the problem with options buyers are ......not market...but their behaviour..when they buy for some small profits, market mood and general news flows stop them from selling...

If u want to play in options...remember.

U should have ur profit as soon as ur levels comes..dont expect for more...thats for others who buys it from u. U r job finishes when ur target reaches..

If u r a put buyer dont heed calls of big falls crash etc ........better go and liquidate ur positions

If u r a call buyer..dont heed for calls like 9800-9900-10000 etc....,market will make wild swings both sides.To make money in exact lows and highs u must have information from HNi...

otherwise........u lose..so next time before buying an option make preparation for liquidating it at ur profit making levels

 

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