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Nabajit Medhi

Nabajit Medhi

City: Guahati

Joining Date: 05 Jul , 2015
Last Login: 05:05 PM - 24 Jan , 2017
IP Address of Last Login - 27.63.243xxx
Profile Verified by Mobile.

Reply for: HARD LEARNING FROM STOCK MARKET

From : Nabajit Medhi at 11:02 PM - Dec 22, 2016 ( )

Closed my BNF Strategy with a profit of Rs.7400 today.

Closing price of 18400 PE=458

                            17900PE = 130

                             17000 PE = 5.50

Pawan Sir, Your strategies are alawys of superior Quality - Kindly write more and more of it for the novice like me.

Varun Bro - kindly write something about hedged strategy in Banknifty please where peace of mind is supreme criteria.

Reply for: HARD LEARNING FROM STOCK MARKET

From : Nabajit Medhi at 11:08 PM - Dec 04, 2016 ( )

Varun, I am now trading in  non-directional trading with an aim to earn atleast 2.5 to 3% per month over my investment and is sucessfull from last few month for an investment of 6-7 lakh. Whatever directional  trade  I take - risk vs reward is predetermined as per market situation. I sleep well and I donot take unhedged trade overnite. I only look for two things;

1. Short term & medium term of market directions from MA

2. Option premium .nifty , it's fair value and vix

Covered Call, Option spread and hedging strategy are taken from last few month and got some relief as of now..

Reply for: IS THERE AN OPERATOR PLAY IN STOCK MARKET ?

From : Nabajit Medhi at 10:44 PM - Dec 04, 2016 ( )

Sir, I do belive that the stock markets are operated  world over by cunning operators. Just see- whenever a stock declare  bad qty result - the stock moves up and vice-versa. Media is taking part in this game along with T.V. Expert.

Just think- why these so called expert advises BUY-SELL recommendation in T.V. in different channel from 9.00 am to 3.30 pm rather than earning crores from their own analysis by investing from their own coffer !

These people know that the market is fully manipulative and it is a futile exercise to predict the movement of stock or index  In one of my writing I have written that among the best strategy to earn money from stock market is - SELL ADVISE OR STOCK RECOMMENDING SERVICE TO THE FOOL  AND BE RICH WITHOUT TAKING ANY RISK OR COMMITTMENT OF INVESTMENT.

In my opion- the markets are 100 % in the hand of big fish and we the common investor do the dancing by seeing the lagging chart created by these operator.

TAKE CARE BROTHER... I am just opined my thoiught..

Reply for: HARD LEARNING FROM STOCK MARKET

From : Nabajit Medhi at 09:46 PM - Dec 04, 2016 ( )

Dear Brother Varun, Thanks for your good word.

I had lost money in the range of 50 k in Moserbear in past. My Sir-a Suptd. Engineer lost nearly 10.00 lakh in JP Associate as he was unable to book profit in time due to service related pressure as well as his believe in fundamental of Jp Associate.

Recently, I have come to know that one of the best Trainer in Tech Analysis in all India level who is a South Indian origin advices everybody to book profit in the range of 2% of investment and he also offer a proposal in public forum that- whoever gives him more than 3% per month cosistantly-he is ready to invest 3.0 crore with him.

Varun, I am 50 yrs and donot want to take any risk in market with two beautiful children at my hand. I now analyse the trend of market in medium to short term and take position accordingly with an aim to loss Rs.1.00 or else profit of Rs.3.00 or more from market. Trades are taken as risk-reward ratio wise.

Kindly guide me for further improvement of my above noted risk - reward strategy.

Reply for: HARD LEARNING FROM STOCK MARKET

From : Nabajit Medhi at 09:30 AM - Nov 26, 2016 ( )

@ Rakesh Padhi - Sir, the maximum loss in my trade will occurs if Banknifty expire around 18400 or above it.

Debit =432.00

Credit = 249+82 = 331.00

Net Debit = 432.00 (-) 331.00 = 101.00

Max loss = 40x101 = Rs.4040.00

New Thread: HARD LEARNING FROM STOCK MARKET

From : Nabajit Medhi at 09:06 PM - Nov 25, 2016 ( )

Hi-Friends,

Haven't got time to write for some time but read most of the writings in Mudraa. I have seen this market for the last 15-18 years and come to some conclusions as well as wisdom for earning money from market. Some of my personal thoughts are ...

*First & foremost important rule -RISK MANAGEMENT. Calculate your maximum possible loss first from a trade.

** Don't belive fully in technical analysis becoz it's only for normal market environment. Besides,it gives conflicting signal in for short term trading and is a blunder in predicting sudden movement of stock or index.

*** Don't ever belive in news based trade.

Peace of mind is the utmost thing while earning from stock market. Take calculated risk by hedging every f&o trade. One of the safest method of earning from stock market is - by selling advice for trading as done in T.V.by so called Expert which does not requre any capital investment.

Lastly, I am disclosing a trade taken by me today:

Banknifty 16 Dec 18400 PE BUY @ 432.00

Banknifty 16 Dec 17900 PE SOLD @ 249.00

Banknifty 16 Dec 17000 PE SOLD @ 82.00

Loss is limited 4000 if BNF behave against my judgement in this month provided BNF don't go below 16978.



From: Nabajit Medhi at 07:36 PM - Dec 04, 2016( )


There is a saying " If anybodoy finds the key of market then market will change the lock of that key".

Let's cosider the fundamental as well as technical analysis of stocks as projected by so called experts in past. Some of the stocks in which massive and sudden errosion of price in last few years happened are best example to describe the huge (?) expertise  of stock market Stock market Guru-whether they are technical analyst or fundamental analyst-that doesn't matter.

For example-RPL/MOSERBEAR/DLF/RELIANCE COMMUNICATION/SUZLON/GITANJALI GEM/UNITECH/JP ASSOCIATES/PUNJLOYOD ....and other countless number of stocks in our market.

We don't know what decission will be taken by the promoter of a company  tommrow-which may impact the price movement of that stock.

Stock market as I found out is much more vicious than the underworld of Mumbai.

I dare to ask every body of Mudraa family - HOW MUCH YOU EARNING BY YOUR ANALYSIS OF STOCK MARKET AND  WHAT IS THE SUCCESS RATE OF YOUR ANLYSIS OR TRADE TAKEN ?

Hedge your trade everywhere - donot predict market or anticipate it's movement by your analysis. ALL ANALYSIS ARE NOTHING BUT GUESESTIMATE .

 



From: Nabajit Medhi at 06:11 PM - Dec 31, 2016( )


Wish you all a Happy New Year 2017.

As per astrology, coming year will be in " SANI DASHA" in stock market. 

1+7 =8

Demonetisation was also announced on 8 th November at 8 pm.

I have taken the following trade yesterday :

BUY 8200 PE JAN @ 124 ( 2 Lots )

SELL 800 PE JAN @ 61 ( 2 Lots )

MAX. RISK : 63 per lot

MAX.GAIN : 137 per lot

In stock market, I do belive that there is no method which can predict the dynamic nature of the market but one can calculate the loss risk associated with the trade taken by him.



From: Nabajit Medhi at 06:46 PM - Dec 31, 2016( )


Rakeshji,

If calculation is done as 2+0+1+7 = 10 = 1+0 = 1 which is the sign of "SUN" as per numerology , then there is hope of rising or good days ahead of market in 2017.

I personally don't belive in financial astrology becoz - Out of more than 1000 financial astrologers in India - none can predict the demonetisation of Rs.500/1000 notes on 8 th Nov/16.

Some cojunction between 2017 and 8th Nov, 8 p.m are made in a published report by some famous astrologer today.

Anyway - let's see what will unfold today at 7.30 pm by our P.M.



From: Nabajit Medhi at 05:15 PM - Jan 24, 2017( )


Have not seen such high magnitude of OI PCR for last several months.

Today's  Nifty OI PCR for JAN/2017 Expiry is around 1.60

It appears from historical stuies that such high PCR usually  sustain for very short term. Be cautious ... Expiry may be very Bizzer...

Reply for: HOW TO FOLLOW NIFTY

From : Nabajit Medhi at 09:23 AM - Oct 21, 2016 ( )

As on today - maximum pain of october/16 for Nifty is 8600.

Reply for: Bank Nifty

From : Nabajit Medhi at 09:49 PM - Oct 01, 2016 ( )

Hi, Varun - have u noticed the ratio between Banknifty to Nifty ? It,s now at 2.24 and historically it may go to maximum 2.30 . Kindly look the historical data for confirmation. To cooloff this ratio- banknifty have to come down more than Nifty in percentage term.

Anyway. my good wishes remains with you for this thread.

Reply for: JUICY NEWS FOR BEAR

From : Nabajit Medhi at 08:20 PM - Sep 25, 2016 ( )

Varun ,The same medicine/injection which are given to Bears by Bull are under final stage of preparation and will be given to Bulls ... Potency and leathality will be more this time ... just prepare the skin....Innocent

Reply for: JUICY NEWS FOR BEAR

From : Nabajit Medhi at 08:20 PM - Sep 25, 2016 ( )

Varun ,The same medicine/injection which are given to Bears by Bull are under final stage of preparation and will be given to Bulls ... Potency and leathality will be more this time ... just prepare the skin....Innocent

New Thread: JUICY NEWS FOR BEAR

From : Nabajit Medhi at 08:00 PM - Sep 25, 2016 ( )

Hi frndz,

Among many news, the most potent news for bears is ...

Debt Bomb of more than 28 Trillion Dollars of China is waiting to burst any time. Bank for International Settlement has recently given an alarm about this high magnitude Bomb which can make 2008 market crash look like a mouse. Outstanding loan amount of more than 28 trilliom dollars is  equivalent to the combined Commercial Banking System of USA and Japan. Just imagine the sheer  size of this bomb and sleep well.

Reply for: Chart Experts

From : Nabajit Medhi at 03:06 PM - Sep 11, 2016 ( )

" Nobdy knows the exact structure of the market. Market profile, MA'S , Elliot wave , Gann etc.are all attempts to define the market structure. Nobdy knows the exact structure of the market and the framework within which the prices moves. We are blind men trying to define an elephant." Innocent

Reply for: Chart Experts

From : Nabajit Medhi at 08:33 PM - Aug 31, 2016 ( )

G.K.  Can I lay my hand in the following stocks at the rate mentioned below in next 4-5 months Frown

RIL @ 400

TISCO @ 150

AXISBANK @250

SBIN @ 120

INFY @ 550

TCS @ 1200

ICICIBANK @ 125

ITC @ 150

Reply for: LOOK AT THIS DATA

From : Nabajit Medhi at 11:49 AM - Aug 31, 2016 ( )

Sahil Bro, Thanks for elevating my mind to write something - hope you are doing well. Traded less for the last few weeks.

I am remembering the sentiments and other indicators shown from 3 months prior to the market crash in Jan/2008 and found that resembles the market situation at present. This mad market is making me sick - Other than a Black Sawn Event - nothing can stop this drunken bulls. I am seeing a very deadly cocktail in this ever rising market. Will wait for taking big size investment at 7500 and untill then I remains as fence sitter.

Reply for: DEATH CROSS PATTERN

From : Nabajit Medhi at 09:47 PM - Aug 30, 2016 ( )

Varun- Thank you very much for your suggestion. It apears that writing these options are safe - the main reason  for not writing options actively till now is that - the fear of sudden gyration may eat the margin available in my account. Will try to write these with some hedged protection.

Kindly post some other valuable suggestion also - finding this market very difficult for the last 3-4 months. Booked some loss also.

Reply for: LOOK AT THIS DATA

From : Nabajit Medhi at 09:35 PM - Aug 30, 2016 ( )

Jayesh & Sheks,

I am expecting heavy sell-off at this level from Mutual Fund & ETF based funds. Yes , Nifty P/E was more than 27 in Jan/2008. But the more frighteting is the broader market P/E Ratio which are at it's peak. Earnings from the Index costituents does not indicate that these Price-Earnings will expand in near term.

A conservative Nifty P/E around 21 will translate Nifty at 7600. I am expecting 7600 within next one or two months from valuation perspective. Take care...

Reply for: LOOK AT THIS DATA

From : Nabajit Medhi at 06:35 PM - Aug 30, 2016 ( )

Look at these data :

As on 30/08/16

Nifty P/E Ratio = 23.97

Nifty 500 P/E Ratio = 28.13

Nifty 100 P/E Ratio = 24.73

Nifty 200 P/E Ratio = 26.14

Nifty Midcap 50 P/E Ratio = 67.39

Nifty Midcap 150 P/E RATIO = 43.09

It seems all P/E Ratios reaches nearly all time high.

Please donot invest in Cash/Mutual fund any further. Encash everything in Equity Market -whether it's cash holding or mutual fund.Reason : Valuations are at it's extreme - None cane earn anything from this level.

Reply for: PUT/CALL RATIO THE KEYS TO HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE:

From : Nabajit Medhi at 11:49 AM - Aug 27, 2016 ( )

There are two major drawback in PUT-CALL RATIO :

1. It does not differentiate between Buying or Writing.

2. It does not take the purpose of the trade into consideration.

The main drawback is - it doesnot take into account whether these options are being Baught or Sold. Option Volume doesnot differentiate if a trade is " BUY TO OPEN " or " SELL TO OPEN " trade.

Reply for: BEER

From : Nabajit Medhi at 06:01 PM - Aug 12, 2016 ( )

Indian Bond yield as on 12.08.16 = 7.103

Nifty P/E Ratio as on 12.08.16  = 23.71

BEER = 1.68

Something un-imaginable may happen in Nifty soon. BEER is in extreme state.

Reply for: currency trading help

From : Nabajit Medhi at 02:50 PM - Aug 07, 2016 ( )

Your profit is = 1000 x 0.04000 = Rs.40/- per lot.

* Don't buy when premium is more than 30-35 paisa

** Near any event date - always hedge the future with currency option considering the risk taking ability of one. I had earned some money by taking hedged position in USDINR before the Brexit event.

*** Use discount Broker for trading specially in currency.

Views are my personal only.

Messages Posted by Nabajit Medhi
TitlePostsTopicDate
HARD LEARNING FROM STOCK MARKET14General Discussion 25 Nov , 2016
JUICY NEWS FOR BEAR5General Discussion 25 Sep , 2016
CAN ANYBODY EARN THROUGH TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ?2General Discussion 05 Aug , 2016
TRIN1General Discussion 11 Jul , 2016
BEER16General Discussion 10 Jul , 2016
DEATH CROSS PATTERN53General Discussion 03 Jul , 2016
THE UK's EU REFERENDUM FEAR FACTOR!1General Discussion 12 Jun , 2016
LOOK AT THIS DATA27General Discussion 07 Jun , 2016
EARNING STRATEGIES WITHOUT LOSING SLEEP13Business Plans & Ideas 14 May , 2016
ASHOKLEY : SHORT CALL9Futures & Options 01 Apr , 2016
1 to 10 of 26<< Previous Next >>